A Data-Driven Model Selection Approach to Spatio-Temporal Prediction - LIRMM - Laboratoire d’Informatique, de Robotique et de Microélectronique de Montpellier
Chapitre D'ouvrage Année : 2024

A Data-Driven Model Selection Approach to Spatio-Temporal Prediction

Résumé

Spatio-temporal Predictive Queries encompass a spatio tem- poral constraint, defining a region, a target variable, and an evaluation metric. The output of such queries presents the future values for the tar- get variable computed by predictive models at each point of the spatio- temporal region. Unfortunately, especially for large spatio-temporal do- mains with millions of points, training temporal models at each spatial domain point is prohibitive. In this work, we propose a data-driven ap- proach for selecting pre-trained temporal models to be applied at each query point. The chosen approach applies a model to a point according to the training and input time series similarity. The approach avoids train- ing a different model for each domain point, saving model training time. Moreover, it provides a technique to decide on the best-trained model to be applied to a point for prediction. In order to assess the applicability of the proposed strategy, we evaluate a case study for temperature fore- casting using historical data and auto-regressive models. Computational experiments show that the proposed approach, compared to the base- line, achieves equivalent predictive performance using a composition of pre-trained models at a fraction of the total computational cost.
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Dates et versions

lirmm-04672000 , version 1 (16-08-2024)

Identifiants

Citer

Rocío Zorrilla, Eduardo Ogasawara, Patrick Valduriez, Fábio Porto. A Data-Driven Model Selection Approach to Spatio-Temporal Prediction. Abdelkader Hameurlain; A Min Tjoa; Reza Akbarinia; Angela Bonifati. Transactions on Large-Scale Data- and Knowledge-Centered Systems LVI : Special Issue on Data Management - Principles, Technologies, and Applications, LNCS-14790, , pp.98-118, 2024, Lecture Notes in Computer Science. Transactions on Large-Scale Data- and Knowledge-Centered Systems, 978-3-662-69602-6. ⟨10.1007/978-3-662-69603-3_4⟩. ⟨lirmm-04672000⟩
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